Hydrodynamic modelling for flood management in Bay of Fundy dykelands

Abstract

Storm surge in the coastal Bay of Fundy is a serious flood hazard. These lands are low-lying and adapted to farming through the use of coastal defences, namely dykes. Increasing rates of sea level rise due to climate change are expected to increase flood hazard in this area. In this thesis, flood risk to communities in the Avon River estuary of the Upper Bay of Fundy is investigated through computer based modelling and data management techniques. Flood variables from 14 possible storm surge scenarios (based on sea level rise predictions) were modelled using TUFLOW software. A GIS was used to create a database for simulation outputs and for the analysis of outputs. TUFLOW and a geographic information system (GIS) flood algorithm are compared .It was found that obstructions to flow controlled flooding and drainage and these features required the use of a hydrodynamic model to represent flows properly.